So, it looks like the early money for a Supreme Court nomination is on Attorney General Alberto Gonzales. I know Bush has an open crush on AG AG, but I can't imagine a worse possible pick for Bush at this point. The right hates Gonzales because they suspect he's squishy on abortion and gay rights, while the left hates Gonzales because they've seen his fine handiwork on torture and civil liberties. This is a moderate pick, alright, but one that would manage to send both sides into fits. I just can't see it happening, so I wouldn't bet on Gonzales just yet.
But if you're one of those compulsive type gamblers, I'd recommend you put your money on J. Michael Luttig. He's the darling of the Religious Right and he's young enough to stay on the bench for decades if Bush can get him through. In fact, I'm making him my Lock of the Week.